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Crime Statistics

From Crimes Against Children Research Center
(based on U.S. Dept. of Justice numbers):

Crime has been going down since the 1990s:

All U.S. homicides: Down 40% 1992 -2005.
Juvenile homicide: Down 36% 1993 – 2005 (kids under age 14)
Juvenile homicide: Down 60% 1993 – 2005 (age 14 – 17)
Forcible rape: Down 28% 1992 – 2006
Sex Abuse Substantiations of Children, 1990 – 2005: Down 51%
Physical Abuse Substantiations of Children, 1990 – 2005: Down 46%
Juvenile Sex victimization trends, 1993 – 2003: Down 79%

FBI Chart of Crime Rate, 1991-2010 (consistently going down):
http://www.fbi.gov/about-us/cjis/ucr/crime-in-the-u.s/2010/crime-in-the-u.s.-2010/tables/10tbl01.xls

2013 Pew Study: Gun Crime is Down 49% Since Peak in ’90s, and is Now on Par with Crime Rate of Early 1960s (But The Public Is Unaware of this Drop):

Crime is back to the level it was when gas cost 29 cents a gallon, says this Christian Science Monitor piece.

America’s Historic Drop in Crime, by the Numbers (including the fact that most crime stats are at levels not since since the advent of color TV):

http://theweek.com/article/index/229129/americas-historic-drop-in-violent-crime-by-the-numbers

And all violent crime down another 4% in 2011: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702303768104577460332267762086.html

A good graphic of the 2011 decline in crime: http://www.fbi.gov/news/stories/2012/june/crimes_061112/crimes_061112

The Economist on the incredibly low crime rate (especially in New York City): http://www.economist.com/news/united-states/21567957-two-americas-biggest-cities-fewer-people-are-being-killed-there-will-be-less-blood?fsrc=scn%2Ffb%2Fwl%2Fpe%2Ftherewillbelessblood

A great comparison chart about Crimes on TV News vs. Crimes in Real Life. NOTE: 99.5% of Americans will never experience ANY violent crime.

Abductions in perspective:

Number of children age 2 – 14 killed in car accidents, as passengers: 1300
Number of children killed each year by family members and acquaintances: About 1000
Number of children abducted in “stereotypical kidnappings” (kidnapped by a stranger for ransom or for sexual purposes and/or transported away) in 1999, the most recent year for which we have statistics: 115.
Number of those children killed by their abductor: About 50.

Murders of children by abductors constitute less than one half of 1% of all murders in America.

Stranger Danger?

Of all children under age 5 murdered from 1976-2005 –

31% were killed by fathers
29% were killed by mothers
23% were killed by male acquaintances
7% were killed by other relatives
3% were killed by strangers

Moral: Your safest bet is to leave your child with a stranger.
SOURCE: http://bjs.ojp.usdoj.gov/content/homicide/children.cfm

There is approximately one child abduction murder for every 10,000 reports of a missing child. (Source: Polly Klaas Foundation: http://www.pollyklaas.org/media/pdf/Abduction-Homicide-Study.pdf)

Put it another way: The Department of Justice reports that of the 800,000 children reported “missing” in the United States each year, 115 are the result of “stereotypical kidnapping” — a stranger snatching the child. About 90 percent of abductees return home within 24 hours and the vast majority are teenage runaways.

For more statistics and an analysis of the number of children reported missing versus the number of children actually abducted by strangers, please see the Second National Incidence Studies of Missing, Abducted, Runaway and Thrownaway Children conducted by the Department of Juvenile Justice & Deliquency Prevention: http://www.ncjrs.gov/html/ojjdp/nismart/03/ns5.html

And in CANADA: MURDERS AT 44 YEAR LOW…but MAJORITY OF PEOPLE SAY CRIME IS “WORSE” THAN 10 YEARS AGO.

And in AUSTRALIA, .00137% of the population is murdered. That’s fewer than 300 people out of a country of over 20,000,000. GREAT ODDS.

SO… WHY ARE WE SO WORRIED ABOUT CRIME?

CRIME DOWN, PERCEPTION OF CRIME UP:

“Take murder. The murder rate rose and fell over the 20th century, climbing to an early peak in 1933, then dropping sharply and staying low through the Depression, World War II, and into the 1960s. It rose to a record level in 1974, broke that record in 1980, and stayed prodigiously bloody through the early ’90s. This is when Bill Clinton boosted funding for local police forces, and police began experimenting with radical new approaches to policing, such as those employed in the so-called Boston Miracle. In 1994, the murder rate started to fall, and it’s been falling ever since. Rape, robbery, and aggravated assault have dropped along with it. Last year was no exception. According to preliminary FBI data, the murder rate dropped 10 percent from 2008 to 2009, robbery fell 6.5 percent, aggravated assault fell 3.2 percent, auto theft was down a whopping 18.7 percent.

But as the crime rate has dropped, Americans have missed the news. The number of people who told Gallup that crime is getting worse climbed to 74 percent last year, a figure higher than any year since the carnage of the early ’90s.
From this op-ed by Joe Keohane: http://www.dallasnews.com/opinion/sunday-commentary/20100326-Joe-Keohane-The-crime-wave-762.ece

And here are the hard numbers it’s based on:
Page 1:

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